Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.ODFL
Price$178.10Intrinsic value$169.625% below price

Valuation

How Intrinsic Value compares with model outputs

Intrinsic Value $169.62median of 6 methods · middle span $156-$306based on filings through 30 Jun 2026
Market Price $178.10Price as of 1 Oct 2026
Margin of Safety -4.8%as of 1 Oct 2026

Valuation methods vs. Market Price

Company vs. peer median Members

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Assumptions

ParameterValue
Years 1–5: analyst growth pathFive-year total matches analyst consensus exactly. Year 1: 13.6% (near-term consensus, capped) · years 2–5: 17.3%/yr (balance of the path).16.6% per year
Years 6–10: glide to demonstrated growth own history 27.8%, capped at 20%
Per-year rates
Yr 617.1%Yr 717.0%Yr 816.8%Yr 916.7%Yr 1016.6%
17.3% → 16.6%
Years 11–20: glide to long-run rate
Per-year rates
Yr 1115.2%Yr 1213.8%Yr 1312.5%Yr 1411.1%Yr 159.8%Yr 168.4%Yr 177.1%Yr 185.7%Yr 194.4%Yr 203.0%
16.6% → 3.0%
Beyond year 20: terminal growthPerpetual long-run rate3.0%
Historical EPS growth (multi-year median)median of 3 windows (5/6/7y)27.8%
Discount rate (cost of equity) 9.9%
Volatility vs market (adjusted beta)1.11

Valuation Detail Members

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Assumptions Sandbox Members

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Compare with peers

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Best in rowHigher is betterLower is better—Data not available
TargetOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc.ODFLIndustrials
Valuation
P/E34.3×
P/S6.5×
P/B8.0×
EV / Revenue6.5×
EV / EBITDA—
Profitability
Gross margin—
Operating margin24.8%
Net margin19.4%
FCF margin19.9%
Returns
ROE24.0%
ROA19.0%
ROIC25.4%
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY)-3.7%
5-yr fwd EPS growth16.6%
Financial strength
Debt / Equity0.00×
Current ratio1.89×
Altman Z-Score21.6
Interest coverage—
Dividend yield0.6%

Best value in each row is highlighted. Figures are periodic snapshots from the same filings used across each dossier; a dash means the figure is not available.

AI-assisted, source-linked narrative; figures from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market data. Dates shown per section. Not investment advice. Terms of Use.