First Watch Restaurant Group IncFWRG
Price$10.23Intrinsic value$13.5232% above price

Valuation

How Intrinsic Value compares with model outputs

Intrinsic Value $13.52median of 6 methods · middle span $6-$17based on filings through 28 Jun 2026
Market Price $10.23Price as of 1 Oct 2026
Margin of Safety +32.2%as of 1 Oct 2026

Valuation methods vs. Market Price

Company vs. peer median Members

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Assumptions

ParameterValue
Years 1–5: analyst growth pathFive-year total matches analyst consensus exactly. Year 1: 10.1% (near-term consensus, capped) · years 2–5: 4.3%/yr (balance of the path).5.4% per year
Years 6–10: glide to demonstrated growth
Per-year rates
Yr 64.5%Yr 74.7%Yr 85.0%Yr 95.2%Yr 105.4%
4.3% → 5.4%
Years 11–20: glide to long-run rate
Per-year rates
Yr 115.2%Yr 124.9%Yr 134.7%Yr 144.5%Yr 154.2%Yr 164.0%Yr 173.7%Yr 183.5%Yr 193.2%Yr 203.0%
5.4% → 3.0%
Beyond year 20: terminal growthPerpetual long-run rate3.0%
Discount rate (cost of equity) 9.5%
Volatility vs market (adjusted beta)1.02

Valuation Detail Members

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Assumptions Sandbox Members

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Compare with peers

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Best in rowHigher is betterLower is better—Data not available
TargetFirst Watch Restaurant Group IncFWRGConsumer Discretionary
Valuation
P/E36.5×
P/S0.5×
P/B1.0×
EV / Revenue0.7×
EV / EBITDA16.3×
Profitability
Gross margin20.4%
Operating margin2.2%
Net margin1.4%
FCF margin-1.6%
Returns
ROE2.8%
ROA1.0%
ROIC2.0%
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY)29.7%
5-yr fwd EPS growth5.4%
Financial strength
Debt / Equity0.42×
Current ratio0.27×
Altman Z-Score1.0
Interest coverage—
Dividend yield—

Best value in each row is highlighted. Figures are periodic snapshots from the same filings used across each dossier; a dash means the figure is not available.

AI-assisted, source-linked narrative; figures from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market data. Dates shown per section. Not investment advice. Terms of Use.