First Watch Restaurant Group Inc Dossier
Outlook & Key Dates
Estimates, guidance, catalysts, and upcoming events
Analyst Estimates Learn more →
5-Yr Fwd EPS Growth
5.4%projected annual EPS growth
Analyst Coverage
11analysts covering
FY Revenue (est.)
$1.4Bnext fiscal year
FY EPS (est.)
$0.17next fiscal year
Reporting Calendar
| Event | Expected Date |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 Earnings Release | 3 Nov 2026 |
Monitoring Framework
Key Performance Indicators
Same-Restaurant Sales Growth Quarterly280.0%Target: 1.0% to 3.0%
Same-Restaurant Traffic Growth Quarterly-200.0%Target: Flat to slightly positive
System-Wide Restaurant Openings Quarterly16.0Target: 59 to 63 net new system-wide restaurants
Restaurant-Level Operating Profit Margin Quarterly1,850.0%Target: Maintain or expand above historical levels
Watch Items
- Same-Restaurant Traffic SoftnessTrigger: Traffic decline exceeding -3.0% for consecutive quartersAction: Re-evaluate digital marketing spend allocation and accelerate seasonal menu promotions to stimulate customer visits.
- Commodity and Labor InflationTrigger: Commodity inflation exceeding 3.0% or labor inflation exceeding 5.0% in FY2026Action: Implement targeted menu price increases and optimize in-store labor scheduling models to protect restaurant-level operating margins.
- CFO Transition ExecutionTrigger: Disruptions in financial reporting or capital allocation strategy following the CFO transitionAction: Leverage retiring CFO Mel Hope in his ongoing Advisor role to ensure seamless onboarding of newly appointed CFO Ashlee Weisser.
Research as of 19 Jun 2026