Alcoa CorpAA
Price$42.00Intrinsic value$105.14150% above price

Valuation

How Intrinsic Value compares with model outputs

Intrinsic Value $105.14median of 6 methods · middle span $46-$253based on filings through 30 Jun 2026
Market Price $42.00Price as of 30 Sep 2026
Margin of Safety +150.3%as of 30 Sep 2026

Valuation methods vs. Market Price

Company vs. peer median Members

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Assumptions

ParameterValue
Years 1–5: analyst growth pathFive-year total matches analyst consensus exactly. Year 1: 52.9% (near-term consensus, capped) · years 2–5: 12.4%/yr (balance of the path).19.6% per year
Years 6–10: glide to demonstrated growth
Per-year rates
Yr 613.7%Yr 715.0%Yr 816.3%Yr 917.6%Yr 1018.9%
12.4% → 18.9%
Years 11–20: glide to long-run rate
Per-year rates
Yr 1117.3%Yr 1215.7%Yr 1314.1%Yr 1412.5%Yr 1510.9%Yr 169.3%Yr 177.8%Yr 186.2%Yr 194.6%Yr 203.0%
18.9% → 3.0%
Beyond year 20: terminal growthPerpetual long-run rate3.0%
Historical EPS growth (multi-year median)median of 1 window (7y) (limited history)18.9%
Discount rate (cost of equity) 11.4%
Volatility vs market (adjusted beta)1.43

Valuation Detail Members

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Assumptions Sandbox Members

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Compare with peers

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Best in rowHigher is betterLower is better—Data not available
TargetAlcoa CorpAAMaterials
Valuation
P/E8.7×
P/S0.9×
P/B1.7×
EV / Revenue1.0×
EV / EBITDA8.9×
Profitability
Gross margin—
Operating margin8.9%
Net margin9.4%
FCF margin2.6%
Returns
ROE17.3%
ROA7.6%
ROIC15.1%
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY)14.4%
5-yr fwd EPS growth19.6%
Financial strength
Debt / Equity0.33×
Current ratio1.53×
Altman Z-Score2.0
Interest coverage—
Dividend yield0.4%

Best value in each row is highlighted. Figures are periodic snapshots from the same filings used across each dossier; a dash means the figure is not available.

AI-assisted, source-linked narrative; figures from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market data. Dates shown per section. Not investment advice. Terms of Use.