Alcoa CorpAA
Price$42.00Intrinsic value$105.14150% above price

Outlook & Key Dates

Estimates, guidance, catalysts, and upcoming events

Analyst Estimates Learn more →
5-Yr Fwd EPS Growth
19.6%projected annual EPS growth
As of 27 Aug 2026
Analyst Coverage
12analysts covering
Consensus: PositiveAs of 18 Aug 2026
FY Revenue (est.)
$14.8Bnext fiscal year
As of 18 Aug 2026
FY EPS (est.)
$6.50next fiscal year
As of 18 Aug 2026
Monitoring Framework
Key Performance Indicators
Adjusted EBITDA Quarterly595M
Alumina Segment Shipments (Million Metric Tons) Annually11.9Target: 11.8-12.0
Realized Primary Aluminum Price per Metric Ton Quarterly4.2K
Watch Items
  • San Ciprian Smelter EBITDA LossTrigger: Exceeding $100 million loss in 2026Action: Re-evaluate viability agreement commitments and energy cost mitigation strategies in Spain.
  • Adjusted Net Debt Target RangeTrigger: Exceeding $1.5 billion through the cycleAction: Review capital allocation, capital expenditures, and potential debt redemption plans.
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Research as of 2 Sep 2026

AI-assisted, source-linked narrative; figures from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market data. Dates shown per section. Not investment advice. Terms of Use.