United Parcel Service IncUPS
Price$93.44Intrinsic value$103.5911% above price

Valuation

How Intrinsic Value compares with model outputs

Intrinsic Value $103.59median of 6 methods · middle span $73-$121based on filings through 30 Jun 2026
Market Price $93.44Price as of 30 Sep 2026
Margin of Safety +10.9%as of 30 Sep 2026

Valuation methods vs. Market Price

Company vs. peer median Members

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Assumptions

ParameterValue
Years 1–5: analyst growth pathFive-year total matches analyst consensus exactly. Year 1: 10.8% (near-term consensus, capped) · years 2–5: 2.9%/yr (balance of the path).4.5% per year
Years 6–10: glide to demonstrated growth
Per-year rates
Yr 63.2%Yr 73.5%Yr 83.7%Yr 94.0%Yr 104.3%
2.9% → 4.3%
Years 11–20: glide to long-run rate
Per-year rates
Yr 114.1%Yr 124.0%Yr 133.9%Yr 143.8%Yr 153.6%Yr 163.5%Yr 173.4%Yr 183.3%Yr 193.1%Yr 203.0%
4.3% → 3.0%
Beyond year 20: terminal growthPerpetual long-run rate3.0%
Historical EPS growth (multi-year median)median of 3 windows (5/6/7y)4.3%
Discount rate (cost of equity) 9.6%
Volatility vs market (adjusted beta)1.03

Valuation Detail Members

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Assumptions Sandbox Members

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Compare with peers

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Best in rowHigher is betterLower is better—Data not available
TargetUnited Parcel Service IncUPSIndustrials
Valuation
P/E17.4×
P/S1.0×
P/B5.7×
EV / Revenue1.2×
EV / EBITDA—
Profitability
Gross margin—
Operating margin7.3%
Net margin5.1%
FCF margin6.1%
Returns
ROE30.3%
ROA6.4%
ROIC13.4%
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY)-1.3%
5-yr fwd EPS growth6.6%
Financial strength
Debt / Equity1.57×
Current ratio1.18×
Altman Z-Score2.9
Interest coverage—
Dividend yield3.4%

Best value in each row is highlighted. Figures are periodic snapshots from the same filings used across each dossier; a dash means the figure is not available.

AI-assisted, source-linked narrative; figures from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market data. Dates shown per section. Not investment advice. Terms of Use.