Union Pacific CorpUNP
Price$272.13Intrinsic value$244.2010% below price

Valuation

How Intrinsic Value compares with model outputs

Intrinsic Value $244.20median of 6 methods · middle span $222-$314based on filings through 30 Jun 2026
Market Price $272.13Price as of 30 Sep 2026
Margin of Safety -10.3%as of 30 Sep 2026

Valuation methods vs. Market Price

Company vs. peer median Members

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Assumptions

ParameterValue
Years 1–5: analyst growth pathFive-year total matches analyst consensus exactly. Year 1: 7.6% (near-term consensus, capped) · years 2–5: 11.1%/yr (balance of the path).10.4% per year
Years 6–10: glide to demonstrated growth
Per-year rates
Yr 610.1%Yr 79.1%Yr 88.1%Yr 97.1%Yr 106.1%
11.1% → 6.1%
Years 11–20: glide to long-run rate
Per-year rates
Yr 115.8%Yr 125.5%Yr 135.2%Yr 144.9%Yr 154.6%Yr 164.3%Yr 173.9%Yr 183.6%Yr 193.3%Yr 203.0%
6.1% → 3.0%
Beyond year 20: terminal growthPerpetual long-run rate3.0%
Historical EPS growth (multi-year median)median of 3 windows (5/6/7y)6.1%
Discount rate (cost of equity) 9.3%
Volatility vs market (adjusted beta)0.97

Valuation Detail Members

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Assumptions Sandbox Members

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Compare with peers

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Best in rowHigher is betterLower is better—Data not available
TargetUnion Pacific CorpUNPIndustrials
Valuation
P/E22.0×
P/S6.6×
P/B8.1×
EV / Revenue7.8×
EV / EBITDA—
Profitability
Gross margin—
Operating margin40.0%
Net margin28.9%
FCF margin25.6%
Returns
ROE35.5%
ROA10.3%
ROIC14.4%
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY)4.8%
5-yr fwd EPS growth10.4%
Financial strength
Debt / Equity1.54×
Current ratio0.99×
Altman Z-Score4.2
Interest coverage—
Dividend yield1.0%

Best value in each row is highlighted. Figures are periodic snapshots from the same filings used across each dossier; a dash means the figure is not available.

AI-assisted, source-linked narrative; figures from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market data. Dates shown per section. Not investment advice. Terms of Use.