Toll Brothers IncTOL
Price$134.75Intrinsic value$105.1422% below price

Outlook & Key Dates

Estimates, guidance, catalysts, and upcoming events

Analyst Estimates Learn more →
5-Yr Fwd EPS Growth
5.9%projected annual EPS growth
As of 27 Aug 2026
Analyst Coverage
15analysts covering
As of 18 Aug 2026
FY EPS (est.)
$12.77next fiscal year
As of 18 Aug 2026
Reporting Calendar
EventExpected Date
Q4 FY 2026 Earnings Release8 Dec 2026
Q1 FY 2027 Earnings Release23 Feb 2027
Monitoring Framework
Key Performance Indicators
Home Deliveries Quarterly2.5KTarget: 10,400 - 10,700
Average Selling Price per Home Delivered Quarterly1MTarget: $985,000 - $1,000,000
Adjusted Home Sales Gross Margin Quarterly2,620.0%Target: 26.10%
SG&A Expense as a Percentage of Home Sales Revenue Quarterly10.3Target: 10.10%
Selling Community Count Quarterly459Target: 480 - 490
Watch Items
  • Mortgage Rate Volatility and Affordability PressuresTrigger: 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates remaining above 6.5%Action: Increase sales incentives, expand quick move-in (speculative) inventory, or adjust pricing strategies in rate-sensitive markets.
  • Geographic Demand DivergenceTrigger: Sustained order softness in West Coast and select Southern markets (e.g., Seattle, Portland, San Francisco, Atlanta, San Antonio)Action: Reallocate land acquisition capital to stronger performing regions like Florida, Boston, and select Mountain/Southern markets.
  • Joint-Venture ImpairmentsTrigger: Additional write-downs in the remaining Apartment Living rental portfolio exceeding $15 millionAction: Accelerate the exit of multifamily joint ventures and focus capital allocation strictly on core for-sale luxury housing.
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Research as of 2 Sep 2026

AI-assisted, source-linked narrative; figures from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market data. Dates shown per section. Not investment advice. Terms of Use.