Suncor Energy Inc Dossier
Outlook & Key Dates
Estimates, guidance, catalysts, and upcoming events
Analyst Estimates Learn more →
5-Yr Fwd EPS Growth
18.8%projected annual EPS growth
Analyst Coverage
3analysts covering
FY EPS (est.)
$7.29next fiscal year
Monitoring Framework
Key Performance Indicators
Upstream Production (bbls/d) Quarterly860KTarget: Maintain or grow production while optimizing cost structure
Refinery Utilization Rate (%) Quarterly103.0%Target: Maintain high utilization above 95% to maximize downstream margins
Net Debt Target (CAD) Quarterly8BTarget: Achieved 8.0 billion target, enabling 100% excess cash flow return to shareholders
Scope 1 and 2 Emissions Intensity Reduction AnnuallyTarget: 30% reduction in emissions intensity of oil and petroleum products by 2030 based on 2014 baseline
Watch Items
- Crude Oil Price Volatility (WTI and WCS differentials)Trigger: WTI falling below US$40-50/barrelAction: Re-evaluate capital expenditure budgets, adjust share buyback pace, and intensify cost-reduction measures.
- Refining and Downstream MarginsTrigger: Significant contraction in crack spreadsAction: Optimize refinery throughput, adjust product mix, and focus on high-margin domestic retail distribution.
- Regulatory and Carbon Pricing ScrutinyTrigger: Implementation of more stringent Canadian federal carbon caps or higher carbon taxesAction: Accelerate low-carbon capital expenditures (currently ~10% of CapEx) and carbon capture initiatives.
Research as of 2 Sep 2026