Progressive Corp Dossier
Outlook & Key Dates
Estimates, guidance, catalysts, and upcoming events
Analyst Estimates Learn more →
5-Yr Fwd EPS Growth
-4.1%projected annual EPS growth
Analyst Coverage
21analysts covering
FY EPS (est.)
$17.61next fiscal year
Reporting Calendar
| Event | Expected Date |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 Earnings Release | 14 Oct 2026 |
Monitoring Framework
Key Performance Indicators
GAAP Combined Ratio Quarterly8,730.0%Target: 96.0 or below
Policies in Force (PIF) Monthly40.1MTarget: Maximize profitable policy growth
Net Premiums Written Growth Annually1,200.0%Target: Profitable market share expansion
Watch Items
- Catastrophe Losses and Weather VolatilityTrigger: Catastrophe loss ratio exceeding historical seasonal averages (e.g., April 2026 catastrophe loss ratio of 7.0%)Action: Adjust underwriting guidelines, optimize reinsurance coverage, and implement targeted rate increases in high-risk geographies.
- Underwriting Margin Compression from Competitive PricingTrigger: GAAP Combined Ratio rising above 92.0% due to competitors tapering rate increasesAction: Re-evaluate marketing spend efficiency and adjust direct/agency channel acquisition strategies to prioritize profitability over volume.
Research as of 2 Sep 2026