Grupo Aeromexico SAB de CV ADRAERO
Price$14.92Intrinsic value$28.7693% above price

Outlook & Key Dates

Estimates, guidance, catalysts, and upcoming events

Analyst Estimates Learn more →
5-Yr Fwd EPS Growth
6.1%projected annual EPS growth
As of 27 Aug 2026
Analyst Coverage
9analysts covering
Consensus: PositiveAs of 18 Aug 2026
FY EPS (est.)
$1.14next fiscal year
As of 18 Aug 2026
Reporting Calendar
EventExpected Date
Q3 2026 Earnings Release21 Oct 2026
Monitoring Framework
Key Performance Indicators
Load Factor Monthly8,580.0%Target: Maintain or exceed historical levels (~85%)
Total Revenue (Quarterly) Quarterly1.3BTarget: 1.47 billion to 1.52 billion USD for Q2 2026
Adjusted EBITDAR Margin Quarterly2,500.0%Target: 17% to 20% for Q2 2026
Operating Margin Quarterly1,100.0%Target: 4% to 7% for Q2 2026
Watch Items
  • Fuel Price Pressures and Recapture RateTrigger: Fuel recapture rate below guided targets (50% in Q2, 70% in Q3, 100% in Q4)Action: Re-evaluate network pricing, adjust capacity growth, and accelerate deployment of fuel-efficient 737 MAX aircraft.
  • U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT) Joint Venture StatusTrigger: Unfavorable final ruling or unwinding of the Delta-Aeromexico Joint VentureAction: Assess impact on transborder capacity, adjust codeshare agreements, and re-allocate wide-body aircraft to alternative international routes.
  • Domestic vs. International Demand DivergenceTrigger: Sustained decline in domestic passenger volumes (e.g., below -3% YoY)Action: Shift capacity from underperforming domestic routes to high-yield international and premium transborder markets.
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Research as of 20 Jun 2026

AI-assisted, source-linked narrative; figures from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market data. Dates shown per section. Not investment advice. Terms of Use.