Geo Group Inc Dossier
Valuation
How Intrinsic Value compares with model outputs
Intrinsic Value $17.65median of 6 methods · middle span $13-$30based on filings through 30 Jun 2026
Market Price $30.79Price as of 1 Oct 2026
Valuation methods vs. Market Price
$0$20$40$60$80$100
DCF
$4.58
DNI
$50.49
P/S
$14.99
P/E
$30.40
P/B
$12.52
PEG
$20.30
$0$20$40$60$80$100
Market Price ($30.79) Intrinsic Value ($17.65)
Company vs. peer median Members
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Assumptions
| Parameter | Value |
|---|---|
| Years 1–5: analyst growth pathFive-year total matches analyst consensus exactly. Year 1: 34.9% (near-term consensus, capped) · years 2–5: 0.0%/yr (balance of the path). | 6.1% per year |
Years 6–10: glide to demonstrated growthPer-year ratesYr 61.2%Yr 72.4%Yr 83.7%Yr 94.9%Yr 106.1% | 0.0% → 6.1% |
Years 11–20: glide to long-run ratePer-year ratesYr 115.8%Yr 125.5%Yr 135.2%Yr 144.9%Yr 154.6%Yr 164.3%Yr 173.9%Yr 183.6%Yr 193.3%Yr 203.0% | 6.1% → 3.0% |
| Beyond year 20: terminal growthPerpetual long-run rate | 3.0% |
| Historical EPS growth (multi-year median)median of 3 windows (5/6/7y) | 6.1% |
| Discount rate (cost of equity) | 8.8% |
| Volatility vs market (adjusted beta) | 0.86 |
Valuation Detail Members
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Assumptions Sandbox Members
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Best value in each row is highlighted. Figures are periodic snapshots from the same filings used across each dossier; a dash means the figure is not available.