Ecopetrol SA ADREC
Price$16.27

Outlook & Key Dates

Estimates, guidance, catalysts, and upcoming events

Analyst Estimates Learn more →
5-Yr Fwd EPS Growth
11.7%projected annual EPS growth
As of 27 Aug 2026
Analyst Coverage
11analysts covering
Consensus: NegativeAs of 18 Aug 2026
FY EPS (est.)
$0.00next fiscal year
As of 18 Aug 2026
Reporting Calendar
EventExpected Date
Q3 2026 Earnings Release10 Nov 2026
Monitoring Framework
Key Performance Indicators
Organic Hydrocarbon Production (BOED) Quarterly725KTarget: 730,000 - 740,000
EBITDA Margin Quarterly47.0%
Refinery Throughput (BPD) Quarterly417KTarget: 410,000 - 420,000
Watch Items
  • Brent Crude Oil PriceTrigger: Below $60 per barrelAction: Re-evaluate the 2026 Annual Investment Plan CapEx execution and implement further cost-reduction measures under the Profitability and Efficiency Program.
  • Colombian Peso (COP) Exchange Rate VolatilityTrigger: Move of more than COP 100 per USD from the planning range of COP 3,600 - 4,000Action: Assess the financial impact on EBITDA (~COP 1.6 trillion per COP 100 move) and net income (~COP 0.8 trillion per COP 100 move) and adjust hedging or cash preservation strategies.
  • Leverage Ratio (Debt/EBITDA)Trigger: Exceeding 2.5xAction: Accelerate portfolio rotation programs, restrict incremental debt issuance, and evaluate further dividend cuts to protect the balance sheet.
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Research as of 2 Sep 2026

AI-assisted, source-linked narrative; figures from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market data. Dates shown per section. Not investment advice. Terms of Use.