Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc Dossier
Outlook & Key Dates
Estimates, guidance, catalysts, and upcoming events
Analyst Estimates Learn more →
5-Yr Fwd EPS Growth
10.6%projected annual EPS growth
Analyst Coverage
32analysts covering
FY Revenue (est.)
$13Bnext fiscal year
FY EPS (est.)
$1.15next fiscal year
Monitoring Framework
Key Performance Indicators
Quarterly comparable restaurant sales growth (%) Quarterly2.2%Target: FY2026 low-single-digit growth
Restaurant-level operating margin (%) Quarterly25.2%
Company-owned restaurant openings, year to date Quarterly149.0Target: FY2026 total openings of 350-370, including 10-15 international partner-operated restaurants
Digital sales as a percentage of food and beverage revenue Quarterly0.4
Watch Items
- Delivery against the lower bound of FY2026 restaurant-opening guidanceAction: Reassess the unit-growth contribution to the thesis and determine whether site availability, construction costs, or execution caused the shortfall.
- Further deterioration in restaurant-level operating marginAction: Review food, labor, occupancy, and other operating-cost trends and reduce confidence in margin recovery if compression continues.
- Escalation of the salmonella investigation into a confirmed Chipotle restaurant linkageAction: Reassess traffic, comparable-sales guidance, remediation costs, and brand risk immediately.
Research as of 29 Aug 2026