CF Industries Holdings IncCF
Price$114.54Intrinsic value$133.3916% above price

Valuation

How Intrinsic Value compares with model outputs

Intrinsic Value $133.39median of 5 methods · middle span $100-$188based on filings through 30 Jun 2026
Market Price $114.54Price as of 1 Oct 2026
Margin of Safety +16.5%as of 1 Oct 2026

Valuation methods vs. Market Price

Company vs. peer median Members

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Assumptions

ParameterValue
Years 1–5: analyst growth pathFive-year total matches analyst consensus exactly. Year 1: 8.1% (near-term consensus, capped) · years 2–5: -5.9%/yr (balance of the path).-3.3% per year
Years 6–10: glide to demonstrated growth own history 32.7%, capped at 20%
Per-year rates
Yr 6-4.1%Yr 7-2.4%Yr 8-0.6%Yr 91.2%Yr 103.0%
-5.9% → 3.0%
Years 11–20: glide to long-run rate
Per-year rates
Yr 113.0%Yr 123.0%Yr 133.0%Yr 143.0%Yr 153.0%Yr 163.0%Yr 173.0%Yr 183.0%Yr 193.0%Yr 203.0%
3.0% → 3.0%
Beyond year 20: terminal growthPerpetual long-run rate3.0%
Historical EPS growth (multi-year median)median of 3 windows (5/6/7y)32.7%
Discount rate (cost of equity) 7.7%
Volatility vs market (adjusted beta)0.60

Valuation Detail Members

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Assumptions Sandbox Members

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Compare with peers

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Best in rowHigher is betterLower is better—Data not available
TargetCF Industries Holdings IncCFMaterials
Valuation
P/E8.5×
P/S2.6×
P/B3.5×
EV / Revenue2.7×
EV / EBITDA4.8×
Profitability
Gross margin37.6%
Operating margin41.1%
Net margin32.3%
FCF margin24.7%
Returns
ROE43.5%
ROA16.6%
ROIC38.6%
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY)30.4%
5-yr fwd EPS growth-3.3%
Financial strength
Debt / Equity0.56×
Current ratio4.86×
Altman Z-Score3.1
Interest coverage—
Dividend yield0.8%

Best value in each row is highlighted. Figures are periodic snapshots from the same filings used across each dossier; a dash means the figure is not available.

AI-assisted, source-linked narrative; figures from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market data. Dates shown per section. Not investment advice. Terms of Use.