Carpenter Technology Corp Dossier
Outlook & Key Dates
Estimates, guidance, catalysts, and upcoming events
Analyst Estimates Learn more →
5-Yr Fwd EPS Growth
21.1%projected annual EPS growth
Analyst Coverage
8analysts covering
FY Revenue (est.)
$3.5Bnext fiscal year
FY EPS (est.)
$13.38next fiscal year
Monitoring Framework
Key Performance Indicators
Specialty Alloys Operations (SAO) Adjusted Operating Margin Quarterly3,560.0%Target: Sustained expansion through mix optimization and pricing actions
Total Case Incident Rate (TCIR) Annually130.0%Target: 0.0 (Zero-injury workplace)
Adjusted Free Cash Flow (FY26 Outlook) Annually350M
Watch Items
- Aerospace & Defense end-market demand and aircraft build ratesTrigger: Aerospace net sales growth (ex-surcharge) falling below 10% YoY or OEM build rate cuts by Boeing/AirbusAction: Re-evaluate gross margin expansion targets and adjust full-year earnings forecast models if raw material pass-through lags or capacity utilization drops.
- Athens brownfield capacity expansion execution and capex rampTrigger: Aerospace & Defense backlog growth slowing below 5% YoY or cancellation rates exceeding historical 3-year averages.Action: Re-evaluate FY2028–FY2029 earnings targets and DCF terminal growth assumptions if completion extends past June 2027
- Medical and Industrial end-market demand soft patchesTrigger: Operating margin expansion below 200 bps year-over-year or pricing surcharge realization falling below 90% of index increases.Action: Trim consolidated revenue growth projections by 150-200 bps if non-aerospace markets contract for consecutive quarters
Research as of 2 Sep 2026