BHP Group Limited ADR Dossier
Valuation
How Intrinsic Value compares with model outputs
Intrinsic Value $52.50median of 5 methods · middle span $48-$55based on filings through 30 Jun 2025
Market Price $84.84Price as of 30 Sep 2026
Valuation methods vs. Market Price
$0$20$40$60$80$100
DCF
$55.49
DNI
$66.53
P/S
$47.90◇ $49.31
P/E
$43.36◇ $95.02
P/B
$52.50◇ $29.95
PEG
Insufficient data for this method
abstained$0$20$40$60$80$100
Market Price ($84.84) Intrinsic Value ($52.50) peer-implied value
Company vs. peer median Members
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Assumptions
| Parameter | Value |
|---|---|
| Years 1–5: analyst growth pathFive-year total matches analyst consensus exactly. Year 1: -10.7% (near-term consensus, capped) · years 2–5: 2.7%/yr (balance of the path). | -0.1% per year |
Years 6–10: glide to demonstrated growthPer-year ratesYr 62.8%Yr 72.8%Yr 82.9%Yr 92.9%Yr 103.0% | 2.7% → 3.0% |
Years 11–20: glide to long-run ratePer-year ratesYr 113.0%Yr 123.0%Yr 133.0%Yr 143.0%Yr 153.0%Yr 163.0%Yr 173.0%Yr 183.0%Yr 193.0%Yr 203.0% | 3.0% → 3.0% |
| Beyond year 20: terminal growthPerpetual long-run rate | 3.0% |
| Historical EPS growth (multi-year median)median of 3 windows (5/6/7y) | 2.5% |
| Discount rate (cost of equity) | 8.8% |
| Volatility vs market (adjusted beta) | 0.86 |
Valuation Detail Members
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Assumptions Sandbox Members
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Best value in each row is highlighted. Figures are periodic snapshots from the same filings used across each dossier; a dash means the figure is not available.