Amaze Holdings Inc Dossier
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SectorInformation Technology IndustryApplication Software Beta (adjusted)1.43 Intrinsic Value Insufficient data for a value estimateNot enough reliable inputs to publish a fair value for this company yet. Market Price $0.07Price as of 29 Sep 2026 Data confidenceNot applicable Market Cap $548.2K Enterprise Value $6.8M Shares Outstanding 7.3M diluted All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Amaze Holdings, Inc. (AMZE) has completed a major strategic pivot from a consumer-packaged goods wine business (Fresh Vine Wine) to an asset-light, creator-powered digital commerce platform following its acquisition of Amaze Software, Inc. in March 2025. While the transition has unlocked massive top-line growth—with Q1 2026 revenues surging 679% year-over-year to $469,053—the company continues to face severe operational headwinds. Recurring net losses ($5.6 million in Q1 2026), a substantial working capital deficit of $22.2 million, and ongoing going-concern warnings present high execution and dilution risks for investors. Consequently, a Hold recommendation is advised until the company demonstrates a clear path toward self-sustaining cash flows. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$0.30 Mean target$0.30 High · most bullish analyst$0.30 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 20 Jun 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario The company fails to secure sufficient additional financing on acceptable terms, or the terms are extremely dilutive. High logistics and integration costs persist, and the platform fails to gain traction against dominant competitors like Shopify. The company faces a severe liquidity crisis, potentially leading to bankruptcy or delisting from the NYSE American. Base CaseCentral scenario The company successfully scales its 'Creator Commerce Flywheel' by onboarding new creators and brands through partnerships like BBR Music Group and All Media Solutions. Top-line revenue grows toward management's FY 2026 target of $7.3 million, and GMV expands. However, ongoing dilution from the conversion of senior secured convertible notes and the utilization of the 2026 Equity Incentive Plan limits per-share upside. Bull CaseUpside scenario Amaze's transition to a pure-play creator commerce platform, highlighted by the launch of Amaze Commerce and strategic monetization channels like the BIGtoken affiliate wallet and FoodChannel.com, provides a highly scalable, high-margin revenue model if the company can successfully onboard its 15M+ creator ecosystem and achieve profitability by 2027. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
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All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |