Altria Group IncMO
Price$67.34Intrinsic value$48.4228% below price

Outlook & Key Dates

Estimates, guidance, catalysts, and upcoming events

Analyst Estimates Learn more →
5-Yr Fwd EPS Growth
4.0%projected annual EPS growth
As of 27 Aug 2026
Analyst Coverage
11analysts covering
Consensus: NeutralAs of 18 Aug 2026
FY EPS (est.)
$5.68next fiscal year
As of 18 Aug 2026
Reporting Calendar
EventExpected Date
Q3 2026 Earnings Conference Call29 Oct 2026
Monitoring Framework
Key Performance Indicators
U.S. Smoke-Free Net Revenues Annually2.6BTarget: $5 billion by 2028 (currently under reassessment due to illicit e-vapor market dynamics)
Adjusted Diluted EPS CAGR (from 2022 base of $4.87) Annually0.0Target: Mid-single digits compounded annual growth rate through 2028
Total Adjusted Operating Companies Income (OCI) Margin Quarterly65.1%Target: At least 60% in each year through 2028
Debt-to-Consolidated EBITDA Ratio Annually210.0%Target: Approximately 2.0x
Watch Items
  • Illicit E-Vapor Market ProliferationTrigger: Illicit products representing more than 60% of the e-vapor categoryAction: Monitor federal and state enforcement actions (e.g., FDA and DEA joint operations) and reassess long-term smoke-free volume and revenue goals.
  • Combustible Cigarette Volume Decline RateTrigger: Domestic cigarette shipment volume decline exceeding the historical industry average of 5-6%Action: Evaluate net price realization strategies and premium brand market share stability (Marlboro) to defend smokeable segment OCI.
  • Oral Nicotine Category Expansion (on! brand)Trigger: Slowing of on! volume growth below double-digit percentagesAction: Assess promotional spending, competitive dynamics against ZYN, and international expansion pathways (e.g., on! PLUS in Sweden and the UK).
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Research as of 2 Sep 2026

AI-assisted, source-linked narrative; figures from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market data. Dates shown per section. Not investment advice. Terms of Use.