ZenaTech Inc Dossier
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SectorInformation Technology IndustrySystems Software Beta (adjusted)1.00 Intrinsic Value Insufficient data for a value estimateNot enough reliable inputs to publish a fair value for this company yet. Market Price $1.31Price as of 30 Sep 2026 Data confidenceNot applicable Market Cap $116.4M Shares Outstanding 88.9M diluted Next Earnings Date9 Nov 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary ZenaTech, Inc. (NASDAQ: ZENA) is executing a high-growth, acquisition-led roll-up strategy to digitize legacy service industries (such as land surveying and inspections) through its Drone as a Service (DaaS) model. By acquiring profitable, founder-led companies and migrating their workflows to automated, AI-powered ZenaDrone platforms, ZenaTech has unlocked exponential top-line growth. Q1 2026 revenue surged 640% year-over-year to CAD 8.4 million, with the drone segment now accounting for 93% of total revenue. While the company is currently unprofitable due to heavy investments in scaling, R&D, and non-cash loan derivative charges, its strategic expansion into defense markets (including counter-UAS systems and a planned manufacturing hub in Ukraine) and the launch of its Zoo Office™ AI productivity platform provide significant long-term upside. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$3.95 Mean target$4.45 High · most bullish analyst$4.94 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 19 Jun 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $4.0020% Integration of acquired companies faces operational hurdles, leading to customer churn and lower-than-expected DaaS conversion rates. Regulatory delays or failure to obtain Blue UAS certification limit defense market penetration. High cash burn forces dilutive equity raises under the USD 250 million shelf registration, depressing the stock price. Base CaseCentral scenario $4.4550% Matches the consensus meanZenaTech continues its steady pace of acquisitions, expanding its DaaS footprint across North America and Europe. Revenue grows in line with consensus estimates as the company consolidates its 26+ acquired locations. The Zoo Office™ platform successfully transitions from private beta to commercial launch, stabilizing the Enterprise SaaS segment. Net losses begin to narrow as non-cash financing charges subside. Bull CaseUpside scenario $5.0030% Rapid integration of acquired land-surveying companies leads to higher-than-expected cost synergies and margin expansion. The IQ Quad drone successfully achieves Blue UAS certification, unlocking massive procurement contracts with the U.S. Department of Defense and NATO allies. The Ukraine facility begins mass production of the Interceptor P-1 counter-UAS drone under budget, capturing significant market share in the defense sector. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
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All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |