Whirlpool Corp Dossier
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SectorConsumer Discretionary IndustryFurnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Beta (adjusted)1.11 Intrinsic Value $56.42median of 4 methods · middle span $29-$83based on filings through 30 Jun 2026 Market Price $30.68Price as of 30 Sep 2026 Significantly undervaluedIntrinsic value is 84% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% marker beyond scale (+84%) Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $2B Enterprise Value $7.8B Shares Outstanding 62.6M diluted Moat Rating None Next Earnings Date26 Oct 2026 Last ex-dividend27 Feb 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Whirlpool Corporation is navigating a highly challenging cyclical trough, characterized by a severe drop in U.S. appliance demand driven by macroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical events. While the company has taken aggressive self-help measures—including a massive $963 million recapitalization, a suspension of its common stock dividend to prioritize over $900 million in debt reduction, and structural cost-takeout initiatives—near-term profitability remains severely pressured. The collapse of the North American EBIT margin to 0.3% in Q1 2026 highlights the operational strain. Although the stock trades at a deeply discounted valuation on a price-to-sales basis, a neutral stance is warranted until there is clear evidence of margin stabilization, successful execution of pricing actions, and tangible progress on deleveraging. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$32.00 Mean target$52.09 High · most bullish analyst$137.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 18 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $32.0015% A prolonged housing slump combined with sustained promotional intensity from global rivals prevents Whirlpool from maintaining its price increases. Gross margins remain compressed due to inventory-related inefficiencies and high input costs. Deleveraging progress stalls, leading to further credit rating downgrades and persistent pressure on the stock price as the larger share base from the recent recapitalization dilutes per-share earnings. Base CaseCentral scenario $52.0960% Matches the consensus meanU.S. appliance demand remains soft through most of 2026, with consumer confidence recovering slowly. Whirlpool successfully implements its pricing actions and cost-reduction initiatives, stabilizing full-year net sales at approximately $15.0 billion and achieving an EBIT margin of around 4%. Free cash flow is prioritized entirely for paying down over $900 million in debt, gradually improving the company's leverage profile while earnings per share recover toward the guided range of $2.45 to $2.95. Bull CaseUpside scenario $137.0025% A faster-than-expected recovery in the U.S. housing market, driven by an anticipated shift toward lower interest rates, unfreezes residential transactions and unleashes pent-up discretionary demand. Simultaneously, Whirlpool's double-digit price increases successfully offset competitive pressures, while structural cost takeouts deliver over $150 million in savings. This combination drives rapid margin expansion and accelerates debt paydown, leading to a swift upward re-rating of the stock. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
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All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |