WEC Energy Group Inc Dossier
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SectorUtilities IndustryMulti-Utilities Beta (adjusted)0.65 Intrinsic Value $86.93median of 6 methods · middle span $48-$103based on filings through 30 Jun 2026 Market Price $100.78Price as of 30 Sep 2026 Near fair valueIntrinsic value is 14% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $32.8B Enterprise Value $53.4B Shares Outstanding 331.7M diluted Moat Rating None Next Earnings Date29 Oct 2026 Last ex-dividend14 Aug 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary WEC Energy Group entered the second half of 2026 with $3.36 of diluted EPS earned, reaffirmed full-year guidance of $5.51-$5.61, and a company-projected five-year EPS growth rate of 7%-8%. Its record $37.5 billion 2026-2030 capital program and emerging data-center demand create a visible regulated-investment runway, while the 23-year dividend-growth record supports the income case. The offset is unusually high execution and financing exposure, dependence on timely regulatory recovery, and demonstrated Illinois regulatory risk. The scenarios deliberately omit numeric price targets and the recommendation remains Hold rather than asserting unsupported upside. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$110.00 Mean target$122.09 High · most bullish analyst$140.00 Street targets sit above today's price; our intrinsic value sits below it. Different horizons, different questions. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $110.0020% The bear case assumes construction delays, financing pressure or adverse regulatory decisions impair capital-plan recovery and earnings growth. The 2025 Illinois settlement-related charge demonstrates that regulatory disputes can produce material per-share effects, while weather and customer-demand variability can weaken operating momentum. Base CaseCentral scenario $122.0955% Matches the consensus meanThe base case assumes 2026 EPS remains within the reaffirmed $5.51-$5.61 range, the capital program advances broadly on schedule, and regulatory outcomes permit reasonable recovery of investment costs. Dividend growth remains aligned with earnings growth. Bull CaseUpside scenario $140.0025% The bull case assumes timely execution of the $37.5 billion capital program, durable large-customer demand, continued protection of existing customers from data-center costs, and performance at or above the company's 7%-8% long-term EPS-growth objective. Continued dividend growth near the stated 6.5%-7% objective would reinforce total-return durability. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |