Viper Energy Inc Dossier
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SectorEnergy IndustryOil & Gas Midstream Beta (adjusted)0.59 Intrinsic Value Insufficient data for a value estimateNot enough reliable inputs to publish a fair value for this company yet. Market Price $39.89Price as of 30 Sep 2026 Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $14.3B Enterprise Value $16.5B Shares Outstanding 358.9M diluted Next Earnings Date3 Nov 2026 Last ex-dividend13 Aug 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Viper entered the second half of 2026 with rising production guidance, a large visible development inventory and a substantially higher base dividend. The royalty model retains strong operating leverage to operator-funded Permian development, while the revised capital-return framework adds flexibility for repurchases, debt reduction and acquisitions. These merits are balanced by direct commodity-price exposure, dependence on third-party development decisions, acquisition-execution risk and meaningful debt. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$46.00 Mean target$56.00 High · most bullish analyst$65.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $46.0023% Lower oil prices, weaker natural-gas realizations, slower operator activity or acquisition underperformance reduce cash generation and per-share growth. Persistently weak WTI could challenge the stated dividend-protection premise, while higher leverage would constrain repurchases and additional acquisitions. Base CaseCentral scenario $56.0056% Matches the consensus meanProduction remains within management's raised 2026 guidance, the $2.00 annualized base dividend is maintained, and capital retained under the revised payout framework is allocated among repurchases, debt reduction and selective mineral acquisitions. Bull CaseUpside scenario $65.0021% Production exceeds the upper end of 2026 guidance as the active-development and line-of-sight well inventory converts efficiently, acquired mineral interests perform as expected, and retained cash supports accretive repurchases, debt reduction and disciplined acquisitions while the higher base dividend remains secure. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |