Verisk Analytics Inc Dossier
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SectorIndustrials IndustryResearch & Consulting Services Beta (adjusted)0.77 Intrinsic Value $258.82median of 5 methods · middle span $236-$269based on filings through 31 Mar 2026 Market Price $167.85Price as of 30 Sep 2026 Significantly undervaluedIntrinsic value is 54% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% marker beyond scale (+54%) Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $21.8B Shares Outstanding 134.4M diluted Next Earnings Date28 Oct 2026 Last ex-dividend15 Sep 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Verisk combines a highly recurring revenue profile with proprietary insurance datasets and a three-year objective of 6%-8% organic constant-currency revenue growth and 7%-10% organic constant-currency adjusted EBITDA growth. Second-quarter 2026 revenue growth of 5.8% was slightly below the long-term target floor, while adjusted EBITDA growth of 7.4% remained inside its target range and subscriptions represented 83% of revenue. At the August 28 issuer-reported price of $191.77, this produces a balanced risk-reward profile: execution toward the stated ranges can support appreciation, but sustained sub-target revenue growth would weaken the compounding thesis. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$195.00 Mean target$237.71 High · most bullish analyst$275.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $195.0024% Organic revenue growth remains below the 6% target floor and adjusted EBITDA growth falls below 7%, indicating that pricing, cross-selling, new products, or operating leverage are not producing the expected compounding profile. Base CaseCentral scenario $237.7158% Matches the consensus meanSubscription growth and renewal economics support gradual improvement from the second-quarter 2026 organic revenue-growth rate, while adjusted EBITDA growth remains within management's three-year range. Bull CaseUpside scenario $275.0018% Verisk moves into the upper portion of its 6%-8% organic revenue-growth range, maintains adjusted EBITDA growth within or above the 7%-10% range, and converts its proprietary data and AI investments into stronger client adoption. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |