Varonis Systems IncVRNS
Price$47.45Intrinsic value$52.4110% above price

Outlook & Key Dates

Estimates, guidance, catalysts, and upcoming events

Analyst Estimates Learn more →
5-Yr Fwd EPS Growth
57.0%projected annual EPS growth
As of 27 Aug 2026
Analyst Coverage
22analysts covering
Consensus: PositiveAs of 18 Aug 2026
FY Revenue (est.)
$737.8Mnext fiscal year
As of 18 Aug 2026
FY EPS (est.)
$0.15next fiscal year
As of 18 Aug 2026
Reporting Calendar
EventExpected Date
Q3 2026 Earnings Release27 Oct 2026
Q4 2026 and Full Year Earnings Release2 Feb 2027
Monitoring Framework
Key Performance Indicators
SaaS Annual Recurring Revenue (SaaS ARR) Quarterly683.2MTarget: 814.0 million to 845.0 million
SaaS ARR Growth (excluding conversions) Quarterly29.0%Target: 20% to 21%
Free Cash Flow Quarterly49MTarget: 100.0 million to 105.0 million
SaaS Renewal Rate Quarterly90.0%Target: Sustain above 90%
Watch Items
  • SaaS Transition and On-Premises End-of-Life (EOL)Trigger: December 31, 2026 EOL deadlineAction: Monitor the conversion rate of the remaining non-SaaS ARR (approximately $83.7 million as of Q1 2026) and track potential churn or migration friction, especially among federal and state government cohorts.
  • Gross Margin CompressionTrigger: Gross margin falling below 77%Action: Evaluate delivery costs and hosting infrastructure efficiency associated with the SaaS platform to ensure long-term margin stabilization.
  • AI Security Adoption and Product TractionTrigger: Slowing net new SaaS ARR growthAction: Assess customer adoption of MDDR (Managed Detection and Response) and newly acquired AI-related products (AllTrue, database activity monitoring, Interceptor, and Atlas) to drive organic expansion.
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Research as of 19 Jun 2026

AI-assisted, source-linked narrative; figures from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market data. Dates shown per section. Not investment advice. Terms of Use.