Uber Technologies Inc Dossier
|
SectorIndustrials IndustryPassenger Ground Transportation Beta (adjusted)1.10 Intrinsic Value $89.60median of 6 methods · middle span $64-$95based on filings through 30 Jun 2026 Market Price $68.51Price as of 30 Sep 2026 UndervaluedIntrinsic value is 31% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $139.9B Enterprise Value $145.8B Shares Outstanding 2.1B diluted Moat Rating Wide Next Earnings Date6 Nov 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Uber enters the second half of 2026 with strong platform momentum: Q2 trips increased 18% year over year, gross bookings increased 22% in constant currency, and non-GAAP operating income increased 40%. Its expanding multi-product network and live autonomous deployments provide meaningful strategic optionality. The balance is less straightforward after the proposed Delivery Hero takeover, whose regulatory, financing, integration, and execution requirements raise uncertainty through the expected 2027 settlement period. A Hold stance reflects strong operating execution offset by transaction and autonomous-commercialization risk. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$70.00 Mean target$101.50 High · most bullish analyst$150.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $70.0023% Platform growth falls below guidance, regulatory or financing conditions impair the Delivery Hero transaction, or acquisition and autonomous-vehicle investment dilute operating momentum before expected network benefits emerge. Base CaseCentral scenario $101.5058% Matches the consensus meanGross bookings and earnings remain within management's near-term guidance, while the Delivery Hero offer advances with regulatory scrutiny and integration uncertainty. Autonomous deployments broaden gradually but remain a developing contributor. Bull CaseUpside scenario $150.0019% Platform engagement remains near Q2 levels or better, Q3 results meet or exceed guidance, Delivery Hero closes on acceptable terms and expands multi-product density, and Uber converts its live autonomous deployments and partner network into scalable, asset-light marketplace volume. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |