TE Connectivity plc Dossier
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SectorInformation Technology IndustryElectronic Manufacturing Services Beta (adjusted)1.11 Intrinsic Value $225.61median of 6 methods · middle span $172-$346based on filings through 26 Jun 2026 Market Price $217.76Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Near fair valueIntrinsic value is 4% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $63B Enterprise Value $67.4B Shares Outstanding 294M diluted Moat Rating Wide Next Earnings Date2 Nov 2026 Last ex-dividend21 Aug 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary TE Connectivity entered the final quarter of fiscal 2026 with strong operating momentum: fiscal Q3 sales increased 13.8% on a reported basis and 12.2% organically, adjusted operating margin reached 21.9%, adjusted EPS rose 22%, and orders increased 27% to $5.7 billion. Industrial Solutions is the principal growth engine, supported by digital data networks, energy, automation, and aerospace demand, while Transportation Solutions provides scale but showed weaker reported operating margin and softness in sensors. The balance of strong execution, double-digit Q4 guidance, cash generation, and higher shareholder distributions is favorable. A Hold recommendation therefore reflects strong fundamentals offset by insufficient primary-source valuation evidence to establish additional risk-adjusted upside. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$209.00 Mean target$246.79 High · most bullish analyst$306.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $209.0020% Order conversion slows, Transportation profitability remains under pressure, weakness in sensors and medical persists, or acquisition execution creates costs without timely growth. A miss against Q4 sales or adjusted-EPS guidance would weaken confidence that fiscal Q3 momentum is durable. Base CaseCentral scenario $246.7955% Matches the consensus meanQ4 results are broadly consistent with management's approximately $5.25 billion sales and $3.05 adjusted-EPS guidance. Industrial Solutions remains the main growth contributor, Transportation continues to outperform end markets through content gains, and margins remain resilient, but growth moderates from the strongest fiscal Q3 end markets. Bull CaseUpside scenario $306.0025% Orders convert faster than expected, AI-related digital data-network demand and energy infrastructure remain above plan, and broad Industrial Solutions growth sustains adjusted operating margin near or above the fiscal Q3 level. Q4 sales and adjusted EPS would exceed management's approximately $5.25 billion and $3.05 guidance, respectively. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |