Tantech Holdings Ltd Dossier
|
SectorConsumer Staples IndustryHousehold Products Beta (adjusted)0.68 Intrinsic Value No headline value published yetWe haven't published a headline intrinsic value for this company yet. Our data-reliability standards weren't met. Method estimates are shown for reference. Market Price $13.88Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $9.3M Enterprise Value −$19.1M Shares Outstanding 667.6K diluted All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Tantech Holdings Ltd (TANH) faces severe operational and regulatory headwinds. The company's FY2025 financial results show a 10.5% year-over-year revenue decline to $38.4 million, a swing to a $12.2 million operating loss, and a widening net loss of $31.0 million. Furthermore, the company is in non-compliance with Nasdaq's minimum bid price requirement, risking delisting if it cannot raise its share price above $1.00 by September 22, 2026. With ongoing dilution from recent capital raises and significant regulatory risks associated with its Chinese operating subsidiaries, the outlook remains highly unfavorable. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 20 Jun 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $0.05 Tantech fails to regain compliance with Nasdaq's minimum bid price requirement by the September 22, 2026 deadline and is delisted to the OTC markets. Delisting severely reduces liquidity, while tightening PRC regulatory oversight on offshore holding companies restricts cash remittances, leading to insolvency or complete loss of shareholder value. Base CaseCentral scenario $0.15 The company continues to struggle with its core bamboo charcoal-based consumer products segment amid weak demand and high competition. Dilution from the March 2026 registered direct offering ($2.15 million raised at $0.30 per unit) and potential warrant exercises continues to depress per-share value. The company may be forced to execute another reverse stock split to maintain its Nasdaq listing, further eroding retail investor confidence. Bull CaseUpside scenario $1.50 Tantech successfully expands its 'Green Home Ecosystem' in North America, leveraging its newly allowed 'TANHOME' trademark and cabinet design patents to drive high-margin revenue. The company regains Nasdaq compliance without further dilutive reverse splits, and successfully recovers the cash consideration from the unwound Xintong acquisition. Scenarios reflect our research view at the research date. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
Thesis Invalidation Triggers
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |