Skyworks Solutions Inc Dossier
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SectorInformation Technology IndustrySemiconductors Beta (adjusted)1.34 Intrinsic Value $52.07median of 6 methods · middle span $21-$78based on filings through 3 Jul 2026 Market Price $83.16Price as of 1 Oct 2026 OvervaluedIntrinsic value is 37% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $12.5B Enterprise Value $12.2B Shares Outstanding 149M diluted Moat Rating None Next Earnings Date3 Nov 2026 Last ex-dividend26 May 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Skyworks entered September 2026 with mixed standalone momentum and a pending transformative combination with Qorvo. Fiscal Q3 2026 net revenue was $934.8 million versus $965.0 million a year earlier, while non-GAAP operating margin declined to 19.4% from 23.3%. Management nevertheless guided fiscal Q4 revenue to $1.01-$1.06 billion and non-GAAP diluted EPS to $1.27 at the revenue midpoint, supported by a seasonal mobile ramp and expected year-over-year Broad Markets growth. The Qorvo transaction could materially improve scale and diversification and targets at least $500 million of annual cost synergies within 24-36 months after closing, but regulatory timing, integration, additional debt and synergy execution remain material uncertainties. The balanced evidence supports a Hold pending confirmation of the Q4 recovery and transaction completion. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$52.00 Mean target$68.25 High · most bullish analyst$85.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $52.0023% Fiscal Q4 revenue falls below the guided range, the Qorvo closing extends beyond calendar 2026 or encounters burdensome conditions, and integration, leverage or customer-related pressures prevent the combined company from realizing the targeted cost synergies on schedule. Base CaseCentral scenario $68.2558% Matches the consensus meanFiscal Q4 revenue remains within management's $1.01-$1.06 billion range and the Qorvo combination closes around the stated calendar-2026 objective, but integration costs, additional financing and continued pressure in the standalone mobile business temper near-term benefits. Bull CaseUpside scenario $85.0019% The combination closes during calendar 2026, Skyworks delivers fiscal Q4 revenue near the upper end of guidance, and the combined company converts its broader mobile and Broad Markets portfolio into stronger utilization and at least $500 million of annual cost synergies within the stated 24-36-month period. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |