Silgan Holdings Inc Dossier
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SectorConsumer Discretionary IndustryPackaging & Containers Beta (adjusted)0.77 Intrinsic Value $46.66median of 6 methods · middle span $37-$63based on filings through 30 Jun 2026 Market Price $34.77Price as of 1 Oct 2026 UndervaluedIntrinsic value is 34% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $3.7B Enterprise Value $8.2B Shares Outstanding 105.3M diluted Moat Rating None Next Earnings Date29 Oct 2026 Last ex-dividend1 Sep 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Silgan Holdings Inc. continues to demonstrate operational resilience and strong cash flow generation despite mixed consumer sentiment and raw material cost volatility. The company's strategic focus on high-value dispensing and specialty closures, combined with its defensive metal food container business, provides a robust margin profile. With a confirmed free cash flow target of approximately $450 million for 2026 and a disciplined capital allocation strategy, Silgan is well-positioned to reduce its leverage rapidly while supporting its long-term dividend growth track record. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$47.00 Mean target$55.31 High · most bullish analyst$61.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 18 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $47.00 Persistent raw material cost inflation, particularly in resin and steel, combined with prolonged customer destocking and weaker consumer demand for packaged goods, compresses margins. Restructuring charges and higher interest expenses drag adjusted EPS below the guided range, slowing down the deleveraging process. Base CaseCentral scenario $55.31 Matches the consensus meanSilgan delivers on its updated full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $3.73 to $3.93 and achieves its free cash flow target of approximately $450 million. Modest volume growth across segments and disciplined cost management offset near-term resin inflation and weather-related disruptions, maintaining stable margins. Bull CaseUpside scenario $61.00 Accelerated volume recovery in high-margin dispensing products for fragrance, beauty, and pet food markets, coupled with rapid integration and synergy realization from the Weener Plastics acquisition, drives earnings toward the high end of guidance. Stronger-than-expected cash generation enables aggressive debt paydown and early activation of the $500 million share buyback program. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
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All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |