SharkNinja Inc Dossier
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SectorConsumer Discretionary IndustryFurnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Beta (adjusted)1.13 Intrinsic Value $139.42median of 6 methods · middle span $124-$281based on filings through 30 Jun 2026 Market Price $179.78Price as of 1 Oct 2026 OvervaluedIntrinsic value is 22% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $25.4B Enterprise Value $25.4B Shares Outstanding 142.1M diluted Moat Rating Wide Next Earnings Date5 Nov 2026 Last ex-dividend30 Nov 2023 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary SharkNinja entered the second half of 2026 with broad-based momentum: second-quarter net sales grew 22.2%, international sales grew 36.6%, and all four product categories expanded. Management raised fiscal-year sales-growth, adjusted-EPS and adjusted-EBITDA guidance. However, the August 28 issuer-reported closing price of $191.23 already reflects substantial execution success, while tariffs, foreign exchange, retailer activations, inventory growth and elevated share-based compensation create downside sensitivity. The resulting risk-reward supports a Hold rather than a more aggressive rating. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$195.67 Mean target$209.56 High · most bullish analyst$240.00 Street targets sit above today's price; our intrinsic value sits below it. Different horizons, different questions. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $195.6719% Growth normalizes below raised guidance as demand, retailer activation, tariffs, foreign exchange and inventory execution pressure profitability. A valuation reset follows if investors conclude that recent category and international growth cannot be sustained. Base CaseCentral scenario $209.5657% Matches the consensus meanSharkNinja broadly achieves its raised fiscal 2026 outlook, with international and newer-category growth offsetting slower mature-category growth and tariff-related margin pressure. Bull CaseUpside scenario $240.0024% Category expansion, international scaling and successful launches remain stronger than management's raised outlook, while cost optimization and tariff refunds offset input-cost pressure. Continued broad-based growth and resilient profitability support a premium outcome. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |