SentinelOne Inc Dossier
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SectorInformation Technology IndustrySoftware - Infrastructure Beta (adjusted)0.84 Intrinsic Value $43.08median of 3 methodsbased on filings through 31 Jul 2026 Market Price $24.67Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Significantly undervaluedIntrinsic value is 75% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% marker beyond scale (+75%) Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $8.6B Enterprise Value $8.4B Shares Outstanding 339.9M diluted Moat Rating None All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary SentinelOne is successfully transitioning from a pure-play endpoint security vendor into a comprehensive, AI-native cybersecurity platform. The company crossed the $1 billion revenue milestone in Fiscal Year 2026 and achieved its first full year of non-GAAP operating profitability. With emerging solutions (Cloud, Identity, and Data) now representing 50% of total ARR, SentinelOne is well-positioned to capture market share in the rapidly growing AI-driven security operations center (SOC) market. Despite near-term macroeconomic volatility and intense competition, its technological edge—anchored by Purple AI—and improving operational leverage support a strong long-term growth profile. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$15.00 Mean target$19.87 High · most bullish analyst$27.00 Street targets sit below today's price; our intrinsic value sits above it. Different horizons, different questions. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 18 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $14.0020% Intense price competition from Microsoft and CrowdStrike leads to severe discounting, dragging non-GAAP gross margins below 75% and slowing ARR growth to the mid-teens. Restructuring efforts disrupt sales execution, causing execution stumbles in the enterprise segment and delaying the path to GAAP profitability. Base CaseCentral scenario $19.8750% Matches the consensus meanSentinelOne delivers on its Fiscal Year 2027 guidance, achieving revenue of $1.195 billion to $1.205 billion (approx. 20% YoY growth) and non-GAAP operating margins of ~10%. Multi-product adoption continues steadily, with customers spending $100k+ growing at a mid-teens rate. Valuation multiples stabilize as the company demonstrates sustainable GAAP loss narrowing and consistent free cash flow generation. Bull CaseUpside scenario $24.0030% Accelerated enterprise adoption of Purple AI and emerging cloud/data security modules drives ARR growth above 25%. SentinelOne achieves Rule of 40 status ahead of schedule as operating margins expand past 12% due to successful workforce optimization and high-margin software cross-selling. Strategic positioning makes the company a prime acquisition target for larger tech consolidators or hyperscalers. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
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All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |