Salesforce Inc Dossier
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SectorInformation Technology IndustryApplication Software Beta (adjusted)1.10 Intrinsic Value $386.16median of 6 methods · middle span $229-$586based on filings through 31 Jul 2026 Market Price $236.69Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Significantly undervaluedIntrinsic value is 63% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% marker beyond scale (+63%) Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $194.8B Enterprise Value $225.8B Shares Outstanding 835M diluted Moat Rating Narrow Next Earnings Date2 Dec 2026 Last ex-dividend11 Jun 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Salesforce's operating outlook is constructive: Q2 FY27 cRPO growth accelerated to 14%, Agentforce and Data 360 ARR approached $3.9 billion, and management maintained a 34.3% FY27 non-GAAP operating-margin objective. The counterweight is that reported FY27 growth includes a material Informatica contribution and anticipated Contentful and Fin contributions, making organic reacceleration and acquisition integration critical. A Hold recommendation is appropriate because the primary-source evidence supports improving demand and strong profitability. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$160.00 Mean target$242.43 High · most bullish analyst$475.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $160.0024% Q3 cRPO growth falls below guidance, organic revenue fails to reaccelerate, or acquisition integration and AI investment pressure margins. In that outcome, the strong headline growth in AI and data products would not translate into sufficient company-wide organic growth and operating leverage. Base CaseCentral scenario $242.4358% Matches the consensus meanSalesforce broadly delivers its FY27 revenue and margin guidance, with Agentforce and Data 360 becoming increasingly meaningful while acquisition contributions continue to support reported growth. Organic reacceleration occurs, but gradually. Bull CaseUpside scenario $475.0018% Agentforce and Data 360 sustain rapid adoption, cRPO growth remains at or above 14%, and organic growth strengthens in the second half while Salesforce preserves its 34.3% FY27 non-GAAP operating-margin target. Successful integration of Informatica, Contentful and Fin would reinforce the unified data-and-agent platform opportunity. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |