RPM International Inc Dossier
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SectorMaterials IndustrySpecialty Chemicals Beta (adjusted)1.04 Intrinsic Value $112.29median of 6 methods · middle span $102-$174based on filings through 31 May 2026 Market Price $99.22Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Near fair valueIntrinsic value is 13% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $12.7B Enterprise Value $14.5B Shares Outstanding 127.6M diluted Moat Rating Wide Next Earnings Date6 Oct 2026 Last ex-dividend14 Jul 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary RPM offers a favorable but execution-dependent return profile from the August 28, 2026 reference price of $106.65. Fiscal 2026 produced record sales of $7.86 billion, up 6.7%, and adjusted diluted EPS of $5.53, up 4.3%. Management's fiscal 2027 outlook calls for 3% to 7% sales growth and 5% to 10% adjusted EBITDA growth. The combination of repair-and-maintenance exposure, three-group diversification, established brands, a 52-year record of dividend increases and an expanded repurchase authorization supports resilience and shareholder returns. The principal qualification is that the earnings case depends on delivering further operating improvement while managing cyclical demand, input costs, tariffs, foreign exchange and acquisition execution. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$115.00 Mean target$130.50 High · most bullish analyst$151.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $115.0020% Demand weakens enough to push sales growth below 3%, adjusted EBITDA growth falls below 5%, or inflation, tariffs and execution costs prevent operating leverage. A weaker earnings path and reduced confidence in the next improvement plan produce a lower market valuation despite the dividend record. Base CaseCentral scenario $130.5055% Matches the consensus meanRPM delivers results within its fiscal 2027 ranges, with adjusted EBITDA growing faster than sales as operating initiatives offset cost pressure. Diversified end markets and repair-and-maintenance exposure moderate cyclicality, while dividends and repurchases supplement per-share value creation. Bull CaseUpside scenario $151.0025% Sales and adjusted EBITDA reach or exceed the upper ends of fiscal 2027 guidance, repair-and-maintenance demand remains resilient, and the November investor day establishes a credible successor to MAP 2025. Sustained earnings growth, continued dividend increases and disciplined repurchases support a stronger market valuation. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |