Roper Technologies, Inc. Dossier
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SectorInformation Technology IndustryApplication Software Beta (adjusted)0.82 Intrinsic Value $727.22median of 6 methods · middle span $449-$796based on filings through 30 Jun 2026 Market Price $362.59Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Significantly undervaluedIntrinsic value is 101% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% marker beyond scale (+101%) Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $35.9B Enterprise Value $46.8B Shares Outstanding 102.5M diluted Moat Rating None Next Earnings Date22 Oct 2026 Last ex-dividend2 Oct 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Roper entered the second half of 2026 with solid operating momentum: second-quarter revenue increased 9%, organic revenue increased 5%, adjusted diluted EPS increased 10% and adjusted free cash flow increased 11%. Management raised its full-year adjusted diluted EPS range to $22.15-$22.30 and its organic-growth outlook to approximately 6%. These strengths are balanced by a 130-basis-point year-over-year decline in adjusted EBITDA margin, execution dependence on continued product innovation and acquisitions. The resulting stance is Hold rather than an unqualified Buy. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$335.00 Mean target$445.20 High · most bullish analyst$550.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 18 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $340.0018% Organic growth falls below 5%, adjusted free cash flow loses year-over-year momentum, or management reduces the low end of adjusted diluted EPS guidance below $22.15. Margin compression, acquisition integration challenges, cybersecurity events or weaker demand for mission-critical products would amplify downside. The price target is an internal scenario estimate rather than an externally anchored consensus. Base CaseCentral scenario $445.2059% Matches the consensus meanRoper delivers near its raised $22.15-$22.30 adjusted diluted EPS guidance, organic growth finishes near the approximately 6% outlook, and free cash flow remains resilient, while margin pressure and execution risk limit valuation expansion. Bull CaseUpside scenario $560.0023% Organic growth reaches or exceeds the approximately 6% full-year outlook, adjusted free cash flow continues growing at a double-digit rate, margins stabilize, and recently launched AI products expand addressable markets and customer value. Successful acquisition deployment would provide an additional upside path. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |