Rio Tinto plc ADR Dossier
Outlook & Key Dates
Estimates, guidance, catalysts, and upcoming events
Analyst Estimates Learn more →
5-Yr Fwd EPS Growth
6.7%projected annual EPS growth
Analyst Coverage
8analysts covering
FY EPS (est.)
$8.72next fiscal year
Reporting Calendar
| Event | Expected Date |
|---|---|
| Publication of Q3 2026 Operating Results | 13 Oct 2026 |
| 2026 Full Year Results Announcement | 18 Feb 2027 |
Monitoring Framework
Key Performance Indicators
All-Injury Frequency Rate (AIFR) per 200,000 hours worked Annually37.0%
Oyu Tolgoi Recoverable Copper Production Target (tonnes per annum) Annually
Productivity Program Annualised Run Rate (USD) Quarterly1.3BTarget: 1,800,000,000 by end of 2026
Simandou Iron Ore Production Capacity Target (Mtpa) Annually
Watch Items
- China Iron Ore Demand and Real Estate Sector HealthTrigger: Significant drop in Chinese steel production or further defaults in the property sectorAction: Reassess iron ore price assumptions, capital expenditure budgets, and dividend payout ratios.
- Simandou Project Construction ProgressTrigger: Delays in rail or port infrastructure commissioning beyond 2026Action: Adjust volume guidance and update capital allocation models for the SimFer joint venture.
- Lithium Portfolio Ramp-up (Rincon, Sal de Vida, Ftnix 1B)Trigger: Failure to progress toward the 200 ktpa LCE capacity target by 2028Action: Review execution strategy and evaluate alternative battery material investments.
Research as of 2 Sep 2026