Red Violet Inc Dossier
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SectorInformation Technology IndustrySoftware - Application Beta (adjusted)1.54 Intrinsic Value $55.31median of 3 methodsbased on filings through 30 Jun 2026 Market Price $80.25Price as of 1 Oct 2026 OvervaluedIntrinsic value is 31% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $1.3B Enterprise Value $1.2B Shares Outstanding 14.3M diluted Moat Rating Wide Next Earnings Date4 Nov 2026 Last ex-dividend31 Jan 2025 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Red Violet, Inc. (RDVT) is a highly scalable, cloud-native identity intelligence and analytics provider that is successfully taking market share from legacy credit bureaus and information service giants. By leveraging its proprietary CORE platform, Red Violet delivers superior data fusion, throughput, and accuracy at a lower cost of operation. The company's dual-brand strategy—idiCORE for enterprise risk/investigations and FOREWARN for real estate safety—is driving high-margin recurring revenue. With gross margins in the mid-80s and adjusted EBITDA margins expanding past 40%, Red Violet represents a premium small-cap compounder with significant operating leverage and a massive unpenetrated addressable market. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$73.00 Mean target$79.00 High · most bullish analyst$85.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 18 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $73.00 Growth in the core real estate vertical slows down as FOREWARN reaches saturation among major associations. Increased price competition from legacy players like TransUnion and LexisNexis pressures margins, or failure to secure public sector contracts limits expansion, leading to multiple contraction. Base CaseCentral scenario $79.00 Matches the consensus meanRed Violet continues its steady expansion, growing annual revenues at a 13-16% CAGR. FOREWARN maintains strong user onboarding, and idiCORE expands its customer base by 300-400 per quarter. Operating margins scale efficiently as repeatable tasks are automated, aligning with the consensus price target. Bull CaseUpside scenario $85.00 Accelerated enterprise adoption of idiCORE and rapid expansion into the public sector drive revenue growth well above the 15% consensus. FOREWARN achieves near-ubiquitous adoption among US REALTOR associations, while operating leverage pushes adjusted EBITDA margins toward 45%, triggering multiple expansion. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
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Thesis Invalidation Triggers
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |