RBC Bearings Inc Dossier
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SectorIndustrials IndustryTools & Accessories Beta (adjusted)1.29 Intrinsic Value $363.19median of 6 methods · middle span $269-$453based on filings through 27 Jun 2026 Market Price $508.49Price as of 1 Oct 2026 OvervaluedIntrinsic value is 29% below the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $16.1B Enterprise Value $16.8B Shares Outstanding 31.8M diluted Moat Rating None Next Earnings Date5 Nov 2026 Last ex-dividend28 May 2014 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary RBC Bearings entered fiscal 2027 with strong operating momentum: fiscal Q1 net sales increased 19.2% to USD 519.5 million, Aerospace & Defense sales grew 36.9%, Industrial sales grew 8.4%, and adjusted gross margin reached 47.7%. Management's fiscal Q2 revenue guidance of USD 505-515 million indicates continued year-over-year growth. Without a defensible valuation anchor, a Hold recommendation is more appropriate than an unqualified Buy. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$500.00 Mean target$632.29 High · most bullish analyst$686.00 Street targets sit above today's price; our intrinsic value sits below it. Different horizons, different questions. Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $500.0020% Aerospace & Defense growth decelerates, Industrial demand contracts, or gross margin falls below the prior-year fiscal Q1 benchmark. Acquisition integration or weaker operating leverage could compound the slowdown. Base CaseCentral scenario $632.2955% Matches the consensus meanRevenue remains within or near management's fiscal Q2 outlook, Aerospace & Defense continues to lead growth, Industrial remains positive, and margins normalize from fiscal Q1 while remaining healthy. Bull CaseUpside scenario $686.0025% Aerospace, defense, and space demand remains strong, Industrial growth broadens, and the company sustains elevated margins while integrating PSC Couplings without disrupting execution. Under this outcome, growth remains materially above mature-industrial norms. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |