PepsiCo, Inc. Dossier
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SectorConsumer Staples IndustrySoft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages Beta (adjusted)0.57 Intrinsic Value $175.10median of 6 methods · middle span $151-$184based on filings through 13 Jun 2026 Market Price $125.60Price as of 1 Oct 2026 UndervaluedIntrinsic value is 39% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $171.6B Enterprise Value $205.2B Shares Outstanding 1.4B diluted Moat Rating Wide Next Earnings Date8 Oct 2026 Last ex-dividend4 Sep 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary PepsiCo's second-quarter 2026 results showed improving consolidated demand, with 2.4% organic revenue growth and positive global convenient-food and beverage volumes. However, PepsiCo Foods North America organic revenue declined 2%, PepsiCo Beverages North America volume declined 4%, and quarterly core constant-currency EPS increased only 1%. The investment case therefore depends on management converting its affordability, innovation, SKU-reduction and productivity initiatives into a North American recovery and progress toward its three-year core-margin objective. A Hold is appropriate on operating evidence alone because consolidated and international momentum is offset by material North American execution risk. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$124.00 Mean target$155.00 High · most bullish analyst$183.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 18 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $124.0023% North American affordability pressure persists, PepsiCo Foods North America remains in organic decline, beverage volumes continue contracting, and core constant-currency EPS growth finishes below the 4% lower bound of FY2026 guidance despite productivity actions. Base CaseCentral scenario $155.0057% Matches the consensus meanPepsiCo delivers within its FY2026 guidance ranges of 2%-4% organic revenue growth and 4%-6% core constant-currency EPS growth. International operations remain the principal growth support while North American demand improves gradually rather than sharply. Bull CaseUpside scenario $183.0020% North American affordability and innovation initiatives restore PepsiCo Foods North America to organic growth, international organic growth remains resilient, and productivity savings produce visible progress toward at least 100 basis points of aggregate core operating-margin expansion over fiscal 2026-2028. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |