Our Bond Inc Dossier
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SectorInformation Technology IndustrySoftware - Infrastructure Beta (adjusted)1.00 Intrinsic Value Insufficient data for a value estimateNot enough reliable inputs to publish a fair value for this company yet. Market Price $0.21Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Data confidenceNot applicable Market Cap $6.3M Shares Outstanding 30M diluted All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Our Bond Inc (OBAI) is a pioneer in the AI-powered preventative personal security space, offering a unique platform that bridges the gap between traditional security apps and live emergency response. While the company has demonstrated impressive early adoption among Fortune 500 enterprises, universities, and major municipalities, it faces severe near-term financial headwinds. OBAI is currently unprofitable, cash-flow negative, and suffers from extreme customer concentration, with a single private equity client historically accounting for over 50% of revenue. Furthermore, the stock has suffered a massive decline since its February 2026 Nasdaq debut, triggering exchange non-compliance notices. While the long-term market opportunity is substantial and backed by a proven founder, investors should maintain a Hold stance until the company demonstrates a clear path to cash-flow breakeven (targeted for late 2026 or early 2027) and stabilizes its capital structure. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$2.00 Mean target$2.00 High · most bullish analyst$2.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 18 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $2.0020% OBAI fails to secure additional non-dilutive capital or execute its growth pipeline, leading to severe dilution from equity lines or a failure to maintain its Nasdaq listing. The loss of its primary high-concentration customer or operational failures in high-stakes personal security situations could further damage brand trust and depress the stock price. Base CaseCentral scenario $2.0055% Matches the consensus meanThe company continues to execute its multi-channel strategy, slowly diversifying its customer base and growing revenue toward Maxim Group's projected $30 million by 2028. However, near-term dilution from the $50 million equity line and ongoing operational cash burn limit immediate stock upside, keeping the share price range-bound as it works toward financial stabilization. Bull CaseUpside scenario $2.0025% Rapid scaling of the newly validated municipal (B2G2C) channel, such as the citywide deployment for 270,000 residents, alongside international enterprise expansions (e.g., Brazil and Mexico). This drives annual recurring revenue (ARR) growth, dilutes customer concentration, and accelerates the timeline to profitability, leading to a re-rating of the stock toward the analyst consensus target. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
Thesis Invalidation Triggers
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |