ONE Group Hospitality Inc Dossier
Outlook & Key Dates
Estimates, guidance, catalysts, and upcoming events
Analyst Estimates Learn more →
Analyst Coverage
5analysts covering
FY Revenue (est.)
$811.7Mnext fiscal year
FY EPS (est.)
-$0.40next fiscal year
Reporting Calendar
| Event | Expected Date |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 Earnings Release | 5 Nov 2026 |
Monitoring Framework
Key Performance Indicators
Consolidated Comparable Sales Growth Quarterly-30.0%Target: 1% to 3%
Total GAAP Revenue Quarterly212.8MTarget: $840 million to $855 million
Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA Quarterly28.8MTarget: $100 million to $110 million
Restaurant Operating Profit Margin Quarterly1,910.0%Target: Enhanced margins via Grill-to-STK/Benihana conversions
Watch Items
- Grill Concepts Rationalization and ConversionsTrigger: Completion of 5 planned conversions to Benihana or STK formats by the end of 2026Action: Monitor capital expenditures (budgeted at $38M-$42M for 2026) and the 1-year payback execution on the $1.0M-$1.5M net cost per conversion.
- Debt Reduction and Free Cash Flow GenerationTrigger: Revolver balance maintained at zero and positive free cash flow achieved in 2026Action: Track quarterly cash flow from operations (Q1 2026 was $22M) and interest expense levels (Q1 2026 was $9.7M) to ensure deleveraging.
- Consumer Trade-Down and Value OfferingsTrigger: Sustained traffic growth despite menu choice trade-downsAction: Evaluate the performance of value-focused promotions (e.g., 369 Happy Hour, $39 dinner deals, $9.99 takeout burgers) on overall margins.
Research as of 19 Jun 2026