Obsidian Energy Ltd Dossier
Outlook & Key Dates
Estimates, guidance, catalysts, and upcoming events
Analyst Estimates Learn more →
5-Yr Fwd EPS Growth
28.3%projected annual EPS growth
FY Revenue (est.)
$534.5Mnext fiscal year
FY EPS (est.)
$0.56next fiscal year
Reporting Calendar
| Event | Expected Date |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 Financial and Operational Results | 5 Nov 2026 |
Monitoring Framework
Key Performance Indicators
Average Daily Production Quarterly28.7KTarget: 27,900 - 29,900 boe/d (2026 Guidance midpoint 28,900 boe/d)
Capital Expenditures Quarterly79.7MTarget: $300 million - $325 million (Revised 2026 Guidance)
Funds Flow from Operations (FFO) Quarterly61MTarget: $317 million (Revised 2026 Guidance)
Net Debt to FFO Ratio Quarterly110.0%Target: ~90x (Revised 2026 Guidance)%
Watch Items
- WTI Crude Oil Price Volatility & Hedging LossesTrigger: WTI price spikes above hedged thresholds causing realized/unrealized risk management lossesAction: Review and adjust hedging ratios; monitor impact on quarterly net income and free cash flow generation.
- Peace River Heavy Oil Waterflood ExpansionTrigger: Delineation and performance of the 10 incremental waterflood injectors at DawsonAction: Evaluate reservoir pressure response and oil recovery rates to validate the 15% corporate production growth target for 2027.
- Willesden Green Belly River Development PaceTrigger: IP30 rates falling below historical averages of ~303 boe/dAction: Optimize well design, lateral lengths, and completion techniques; reallocate capital between heavy and light oil assets.
Research as of 19 Jun 2026