Northern Oil and Gas IncNOG
Price$23.52Intrinsic value$32.5738% above price

Valuation

How Intrinsic Value compares with model outputs

Intrinsic Value $32.57median of 3 methodsbased on filings through 30 Jun 2026
Market Price $23.52Price as of 1 Oct 2026
Margin of Safety +38.5%as of 1 Oct 2026

Valuation methods vs. Market Price

Company vs. peer median Members

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Assumptions

ParameterValue
Years 1–5: analyst growth pathFive-year total matches analyst consensus exactly. Year 1: -5.4% (near-term consensus, capped) · years 2–5: -5.0%/yr (balance of the path).-5.1% per year
Years 6–10: glide to demonstrated growth
Per-year rates
Yr 6-3.4%Yr 7-1.8%Yr 8-0.2%Yr 91.4%Yr 103.0%
-5.0% → 3.0%
Years 11–20: glide to long-run rate
Per-year rates
Yr 113.0%Yr 123.0%Yr 133.0%Yr 143.0%Yr 153.0%Yr 163.0%Yr 173.0%Yr 183.0%Yr 193.0%Yr 203.0%
3.0% → 3.0%
Beyond year 20: terminal growthPerpetual long-run rate3.0%
Historical EPS growth (multi-year median)median of 1 window (7y) (limited history)-51.4%
Discount rate (cost of equity) 8.6%
Volatility vs market (adjusted beta)0.81

Valuation Detail Members

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Assumptions Sandbox Members

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Compare with peers

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Best in rowHigher is betterLower is better—Data not available
TargetNorthern Oil and Gas IncNOGEnergy
Valuation
P/E—
P/S1.4×
P/B1.3×
EV / Revenue2.8×
EV / EBITDA—
Profitability
Gross margin—
Operating margin2,800.0%
Net margin-25.4%
FCF margin-39.1%
Returns
ROE-24.4%
ROA-8.3%
ROIC—
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY)-13.9%
5-yr fwd EPS growth-5.1%
Financial strength
Debt / Equity1.37×
Current ratio0.80×
Altman Z-Score0.5
Interest coverage—
Dividend yield6.5%

Best value in each row is highlighted. Figures are periodic snapshots from the same filings used across each dossier; a dash means the figure is not available.

AI-assisted, source-linked narrative; figures from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market data. Dates shown per section. Not investment advice. Terms of Use.