NN Inc Dossier
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SectorIndustrials IndustryIndustrial Machinery Beta (adjusted)2.07 Intrinsic Value Insufficient data for a value estimateNot enough reliable inputs to publish a fair value for this company yet. Market Price $3.63Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Data confidenceNot applicable Market Cap $299.8M Enterprise Value $449.8M Shares Outstanding 82.6M diluted Moat Rating None Next Earnings Date28 Oct 2026 Last ex-dividend6 Sep 2019 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary NN, Inc. (NASDAQ: NNBR) is undergoing a multi-dimensional operational and financial turnaround, shifting its product mix away from low-margin, cyclical automotive markets toward high-growth, high-margin secular trends including Electric Grid & Data Centers, Defense & Electronics, and Medical. The company's Q1 2026 results demonstrated strong execution of this strategy, with net sales up 12.1% YoY and adjusted EBITDA up 33.0% YoY, prompting management to raise full-year 2026 guidance and pull forward its long-term financial targets from 2030 to 2029. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$3.00 Mean target$5.50 High · most bullish analyst$7.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 19 Jun 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario Persistent weakness in the Chinese automotive market and prolonged pass-through lags on raw metal costs compress margins. High debt leverage and preferred stock obligations restrict capital expenditure, slowing down the ramp-up of new program launches in the Power Solutions segment. Base CaseCentral scenario The company successfully executes its 'New Gameplan' turnaround, driving growth in high-margin segments to offset legacy automotive declines. Net sales reach the midpoint of raised 2026 guidance ($460 million) and adjusted EBITDA margins exceed 12%, supported by the launch of over 100 new programs and strong demand for liquid-cooling connector components in AI data centers. Bull CaseUpside scenario NN Inc. is executing a highly successful strategic turnaround, pivoting away from low-margin automotive markets toward high-growth, high-margin sectors like AI data centers (supported by a liquid cooling component supply deal with NVIDIA), electric grid infrastructure, and defense electronics. This mix shift, combined with aggressive cost-cutting, has allowed the company to pull forward its long-term financial targets ($600M net sales, 20% adjusted gross margin, and $80M adjusted EBITDA) to 2029, offering significant valuation upside from its current deeply discounted revenue multiple. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
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All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |