News Corp Dossier
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SectorCommunication Services IndustryPublishing Beta (adjusted)0.93 Intrinsic Value $42.96median of 6 methods · middle span $26-$75based on filings through 31 Mar 2026 Market Price $28.64Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Significantly undervaluedIntrinsic value is 50% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% marker beyond scale (+50%) Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $15.4B Enterprise Value $15.3B Shares Outstanding 558.4M diluted Moat Rating None Next Earnings Date5 Nov 2026 Last ex-dividend9 Sep 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary News Corp entered fiscal 2027 with favorable momentum in Dow Jones, Digital Real Estate Services and Book Publishing, supported by expanding digital subscriptions, professional-information demand, premium real-estate offerings and content-licensing opportunities. The balanced view reflects weaker News Media profitability and audience trends, exposure to housing and advertising cycles, and uncertainty over the economics and enforcement of artificial-intelligence content licensing. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$30.30 Mean target$35.54 High · most bullish analyst$43.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario $30.3019% A housing slowdown weakens listings and real-estate lead demand, digital audience declines impair advertising and conversion, print contraction outweighs pricing and licensing gains, publishing demand softens, or unauthorized artificial-intelligence use reduces the value captured from News Corp content. Base CaseCentral scenario $35.5456% Matches the consensus meanThe principal digital and information-services franchises continue growing but normalize from fiscal-2026 exit rates, while pressure in News Media and uneven audience trends offset part of that progress. Bull CaseUpside scenario $43.0025% Dow Jones sustains digital-subscription and professional-information growth, additional artificial-intelligence licensing agreements improve content monetization, REA Group maintains pricing and listings momentum, Move converts premium products into durable growth, and HarperCollins continues benefiting from strong frontlist, backlist and digital demand. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
Key Investment Risks
All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |