Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc Dossier
Outlook & Key Dates
Estimates, guidance, catalysts, and upcoming events
Analyst Estimates Learn more →
5-Yr Fwd EPS Growth
-0.6%projected annual EPS growth
Analyst Coverage
3analysts covering
FY Revenue (est.)
$1.4Bnext fiscal year
FY EPS (est.)
$2.12next fiscal year
Reporting Calendar
| Event | Expected Date |
|---|---|
| Q4 Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Release | 19 Nov 2026 |
Monitoring Framework
Key Performance Indicators
Daily Average Comparable Store Sales Growth Quarterly50.0%Target: 1.5% - 2.5%
Diluted Earnings Per Share (EPS) Quarterly0.6Target: $2.07 - $2.15
Gross Profit Margin Quarterly3,040.0%Target: Relatively flat year-over-year
New Store Openings Annually1.0Target: 6 - 8 stores
Watch Items
- Consumer Value-Seeking Behavior and Basket SizeTrigger: Transaction count decline exceeding 1.5% or basket size growth dropping below 1.0%Action: Enhance promotional campaigns, expand the Natural Grocers private-label product line, and adjust pricing strategies to retain value-conscious shoppers.
- Store Expansion and Pre-opening ExpensesTrigger: Capital expenditures exceeding the revised $45 - $50 million guidance or pre-opening drag rising above $0.09 per shareAction: Re-evaluate the construction timeline, optimize real estate acquisition costs, and slow down non-essential store relocations or remodels.
- Administrative and Technology ExpensesTrigger: Administrative expenses rising above 3.8% of net sales due to ERP upgrade or technology costsAction: Implement strict cost-control measures on corporate overhead and accelerate efficiency gains from the newly completed ERP system.
Research as of 19 Jun 2026