National Fuel Gas CoNFG
Price$76.26Intrinsic value$59.6922% below price

Valuation

How Intrinsic Value compares with model outputs

Intrinsic Value $59.69median of 6 methods · middle span $53-$101based on filings through 30 Jun 2026
Market Price $76.26Price as of 1 Oct 2026
Margin of Safety -21.7%as of 1 Oct 2026

Valuation methods vs. Market Price

Company vs. peer median Members

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Assumptions

ParameterValue
Years 1–5: analyst growth pathFive-year total matches analyst consensus exactly. Year 1: 14.7% (near-term consensus, capped) · years 2–5: 0.5%/yr (balance of the path).3.2% per year
Years 6–10: glide to demonstrated growth
Per-year rates
Yr 61.1%Yr 71.6%Yr 82.1%Yr 92.7%Yr 103.2%
0.5% → 3.2%
Years 11–20: glide to long-run rate
Per-year rates
Yr 113.2%Yr 123.2%Yr 133.1%Yr 143.1%Yr 153.1%Yr 163.1%Yr 173.1%Yr 183.0%Yr 193.0%Yr 203.0%
3.2% → 3.0%
Beyond year 20: terminal growthPerpetual long-run rate3.0%
Historical EPS growth (multi-year median)median of 2 windows (6/7y) (limited history)5.8%
Discount rate (cost of equity) 7.6%
Volatility vs market (adjusted beta)0.58

Valuation Detail Members

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Assumptions Sandbox Members

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Compare with peers

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Best in rowHigher is betterLower is better—Data not available
TargetNational Fuel Gas CoNFGEnergy
Valuation
P/E10.6×
P/S3.1×
P/B1.9×
EV / Revenue4.0×
EV / EBITDA—
Profitability
Gross margin—
Operating margin41.1%
Net margin27.4%
FCF margin9.0%
Returns
ROE17.2%
ROA6.5%
ROIC10.8%
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY)44.3%
5-yr fwd EPS growth3.2%
Financial strength
Debt / Equity0.91×
Current ratio3.20×
Altman Z-Score1.7
Interest coverage—
Dividend yield1.4%

Best value in each row is highlighted. Figures are periodic snapshots from the same filings used across each dossier; a dash means the figure is not available.

AI-assisted, source-linked narrative; figures from company filings (SEC EDGAR) and market data. Dates shown per section. Not investment advice. Terms of Use.