Mohawk Industries Inc Dossier
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SectorConsumer Discretionary IndustryFurnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Beta (adjusted)1.12 Intrinsic Value $128.76median of 6 methods · middle span $117-$155based on filings through 4 Jul 2026 Market Price $125.12Price as of 1 Oct 2026 Near fair valueIntrinsic value is 3% above the market price −50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50% Data confidence Sign in to view data confidence Market Cap $8.5B Enterprise Value $9.5B Shares Outstanding 61M diluted Moat Rating None Next Earnings Date22 Oct 2026 All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference. ThesisStreet consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers Thesis Summary Mohawk Industries (MHK) is navigating a challenging cyclical downturn in the global housing and remodeling markets. While Q1 2026 results demonstrated operational resilience with an 8% reported revenue increase to $2.73 billion and a 25% increase in adjusted EPS to $1.90, underlying volumes remain soft due to high mortgage rates and economic uncertainty. The company's aggressive cost-cutting and restructuring initiatives (targeting $360 million in annualized benefits) are successfully supporting margins, but a sustained recovery in residential demand is required for significant earnings acceleration. With a balanced valuation and a major CEO transition scheduled for September 2026, a Hold rating is appropriate. This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today. Street view · analyst 12-month targets Low · most bearish analyst$115.00 Mean target$135.79 High · most bullish analyst$155.00 Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 18 Sep 2026 Scenarios · 12-month scenario targets Bear CaseDownside scenario Persistent inflation and elevated interest rates prolong the housing recession. Energy market volatility, particularly driven by geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East, pressures manufacturing margins, while competitive pricing pressures in Flooring North America limit the company's ability to pass through costs. Base CaseCentral scenario The housing market remains soft through 2026, with high interest rates continuing to defer discretionary remodeling projects. Mohawk successfully offsets volume headwinds through its ongoing restructuring programs, pricing actions, and stable commercial demand. Margins expand modestly as input costs stabilize. Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale. Key Investment Merits
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All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Quality Pillars MembersThis section is available to registered members. Create a free account or sign in to unlock the full breakdown. Explore this dossierValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework. |