Mettler-Toledo International Inc Dossier - Source-backed chat

Mettler-Toledo International Inc

MTDNYSE

SectorHealth Care

IndustryLife Sciences Tools & Services

Beta (adjusted)1.15

Intrinsic Value $1,331.58median of 5 methods · middle span $1,270-$1,395based on filings through 30 Jun 2026

Market Price $1,481.17Price as of 1 Oct 2026

Near fair valueIntrinsic value is 10% below the market price

−50% · IV below pricenear fair value ±15%IV above price · +50%

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Market Cap $29.7B

Enterprise Value $31.7B

Shares Outstanding 20.1M diluted

Moat Rating Wide

Next Earnings Date5 Nov 2026

All prices and values are periodic snapshots, not live quotes. Source dates are shown for reference.

Thesis

Street consensus, scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggers

AI-assisted

Thesis Summary

Mettler-Toledo entered the second half of 2026 with improving operating momentum: second-quarter organic local-currency sales increased 4%, adjusted EPS increased 14%, and management raised full-year sales and adjusted-EPS guidance. Asia/Rest of World and Europe were the strongest regions, while Americas organic growth remained only 1%. The official investor-relations quote was $1,398.58 on August 28, 2026, within the upper portion of its published 52-week range. Strong execution therefore appears substantially recognized, supporting a Hold rather than a more aggressive recommendation.

This section is the 12-month view: analyst targets and the probability-weighted scenarios built from them. The intrinsic value at the top of this page answers a different question: what the business is worth today.

Street view · analyst 12-month targets11 analysts · as of 18 Aug 2026

Low · most bearish analyst$1,200.00

Mean target$1,468.91

High · most bullish analyst$1,600.00

Our research · scenarios, merits, risks, and invalidation triggersResearch as of 2 Sep 2026

Scenarios · 12-month scenario targetsAnchored at research date

Bear CaseDownside scenario

$1,200.0020%

Americas demand weakens, trade-policy or macroeconomic uncertainty slows customer investment, and full-year sales growth or adjusted EPS falls below management's guidance floor.

Base CaseCentral scenario

$1,468.9155%

Matches the consensus mean

The company delivers approximately 4%-5% full-year local-currency sales growth excluding customer tariff refunds and adjusted EPS within its $47.15-$47.50 guidance range, supported by continued execution of its sales, marketing and productivity initiatives.

Bull CaseUpside scenario

$1,600.0025%

Organic growth broadens beyond Asia and Europe, Americas growth accelerates from the second-quarter level, and Spinnaker productivity benefits allow adjusted EPS to exceed the upper end of the $47.15-$47.50 full-year guidance range.

Scenarios are anchored to street consensus at the research date, with our probabilities and rationale.

Key Investment Merits

Second-quarter organic local-currency sales increased 4%, including 9% growth in Asia/Rest of World and 4% in Europe.
Second-quarter adjusted EPS increased 14% and adjusted operating profit increased 9% year over year.
Management raised full-year 2026 guidance to approximately 4%-5% local-currency sales growth excluding tariff refunds and adjusted EPS of $47.15-$47.50.

Key Investment Risks

Americas organic local-currency sales growth was only 1% in the second quarter, materially below Asia/Rest of World.
Tariff refunds created significant one-time effects in reported sales and cost of sales, complicating period-to-period comparisons.
Management identifies rapidly changing market conditions, trade disputes, tariffs, inflation, geopolitical instability and customer demand as potential sources of forecast variance.

All scenarios are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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Explore this dossier

ValuationIntrinsic value, the six-method breakdown, peer medians, and your assumptions sandbox.Financial SnapshotRevenue, profitability, returns, balance sheet, dividends, and the filing-level detail.Qualitative AnalysisBusiness overview, strategic initiatives, and mergers, acquisitions & partnerships.Outlook & Key DatesForward estimates, reporting calendar, and the monitoring framework.