Meritage Homes Corp Dossier
Outlook & Key Dates
Estimates, guidance, catalysts, and upcoming events
Analyst Estimates Learn more →
5-Yr Fwd EPS Growth
6.8%projected annual EPS growth
Analyst Coverage
8analysts covering
FY EPS (est.)
$5.00next fiscal year
Monitoring Framework
Key Performance Indicators
Home Closings Volume Quarterly3KTarget: At or within 5% of full year 2025 results
Home Closing Gross Margin Quarterly1,750.0%
Active Community Count Quarterly345
Average HERS Index Score Annually49.0Target: Continuous improvement (lower is better)
Watch Items
- Mortgage Rate Volatility and Buyer IncentivesAction: Optimize asset turns, adjust pricing strategies, and leverage mortgage rate buy-downs
- Absorption RateTrigger: Absorption rate falling significantly below 3.6 net sales per month
- Gross Margin CompressionTrigger: Home closing gross margin dropping below the Q2 2026 guidance of ~18%Action: Optimize every asset while balancing pace and margin, and focus on controllable execution such as cycle times
Research as of 19 Jun 2026